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Grand National 2010 Preview
It is races like these that bring millions of viewers to the television screens every year around April. The Grand National is and always will be the biggest horse race in the racing calendar and with their usually being forty horses involved on the longest of courses, it always brings with it that element of excitement, frustration and most of all anticipation. This year sees many new horses and jockeys taking part in “The Great Race” for the first time. Other names of horses will be on the tips of your tongues as you seek to find the one horse that will get you those extra pounds for Saturday night. It is not just the race that comes with such excitement, it is the build up, the naming of the horse who thinnk will be victorious in the Aintree sun, the trip to the bookies to place your bets, the gathering of family in the front room as the coverage starts to gather steam.
This years event see a few old timers that may just make the grade. Hello Bud of Scottish Grand National glory last year will surely try and lead as soon as the race starts. Comply Or Die, a great jumper will always be there around the end regardless of what the form books tell you, and Mon Mome, the 3rd placed horse in May’s Gold Cup who has now been made the favourite for the Grand National will also be giving his “Never Say Die” attitude over all 30 jumps and will be looking to end the jumping season on a very high note.
There are some big outsiders yet again in the 2010 Grand National all at some very nice prices although as every year it will seem that Pak Jack, Merigo and horses like Lennon will only really be making up the numbers and will come crashing down at some point.
With the worse priced horses currently only at 10/1 there is scope to be able to pick a few good horses early, the Grand National is always in its prime a few weeks for the off and punters would do well in getting some early prices in the hope that an each way bet may make a big difference. So many horses change prices as well as positions during the race and betting now may mean the difference between 100/1 and 16/1.
As always the best online bookmakers will be offering double and perhaps even treble bets to new customers and these should be looked into seriously, there is nothing better than a free bet coming in and with so many runners, the each way cut off point is always the top four.
When it comes to Grand National betting, the one thing you can be sure of is that the race will never have a dull conclusion, the way some of the horses are able to get around, fighting the jumps and managing to negotiate “The Chair” does come around every year, but events such as the 2010 Grand National will never be forgotten.
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Sports Lines And Odds – Money Lines, Fair Odds, & Juice
Sports Lines And Odds
When sports bettors look at the odds in the morning before making their sports picks, many of them are missing the whole story. Let’s say they are capping bases and see that the Yanks are -190 favorites over the Devil Rays. “Too much juice,” they whisper, and move on to the next game. Sports Lines And Odds
But is it? How do they know? Simply because it’s a big number?
Money lines speak and they always say something very specific, but many gamblers simply hear: “Odds are pretty good the Yanks are gonna beat the D-Rays today, but they’re too expensive to bet on at -190.” Just how good are those odds and why on earth would they think the -190 is the price of the bet?
Odds are simply the chance of something happening, nothing more, and chances are expressed in percentages. What this money line is really saying is “The Yanks have a 65.5% chance of beating the Devil Rays today.” It’s not saying anything at all about the price or ‘juice’. To calculate the odds in the money line, you need two formulas, one for the favorite and one for the dog.
FAVORITE FL/(FL + 100)
FL is the favorite line. Disregard the minus sign. So for the Yanks at -190 it goes like this: 190/(190 +100) = 190/290 = .655 or 65.5% Sports Lines And Odds
The Devil Rays are +170 dogs.
UNDERDOG 100/(DL + 100)
DL is the dog line. So:
100/(170 + 100) = 100/270 = .370 or 37%
Something doesn’t seem right. If the books are saying the Yanks have a 65.5% chance of winning and the Devil Rays a 37% chance of winning, that’s a 102.5% chance of one of these teams winning.
That’s impossible. Nothing can be more than 100%. When a sweaty athlete in a post-game interview says he gave “110%”, he’s off by exactly 10%. The 2.5% is the price, the juice, the vig, the house edge, whatever you want to call it.
It’s what we must overcome to make a profit in this business.
If we determine, as sports handicappers, that the odds on the Yanks are fair, then we must pass on this bet as there is no profit in it for us. If we make this bet a 1000 times, we would win 655 times and lose 345 times (1000 * 65.5% = 655). At -190 we would break even, nothing more. We would win 655 units and lose 655.5 units (the .5 can be explained by rounding). Betting on the D-Rays is an even worse idea. If the odds on the Yanks are fair, then the D-Rays are overvalued by the 2.5% (100% – 65.5% = 34.5%). They actually have only a 34.5% chance of winning the game, not 37% as claimed by the +170 money line. We would lose 68.5 units betting them over the course of a 1000 bets.
As sports handicappers, we must look for BETTER THAN FAIR odds. They’re hard to find, but they’re out there. Precision Plays wouldn’t play the Yanks at -190 unless we determined they had at least a 70% chance of winning the game.
Very few situations, especially in baseball, have those good of odds. Sports Lines And Odds
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Horse Wagering Options
There’s nothing more exciting, to many, that spending a day at the track. Even if you don’t have access to a racetrack or a way to watch horse racing on TV, horse wagering can yield some great profits. Many horse-wagering individuals have hit the big score with a bet of just . Before you can place your bets and start winning, you need to know how to bet. In this article, we will go over some common horse wagering options like the Trifecta, Quinella, Exacta and many more. In just a couple minutes from now, you will be ready to hit the track (even the virtual one) and stake your claim to the world of winning racetrack betting.
Horse Wagering
Win: This option is pretty self-evident. You are betting the horse to win the race. If you are correct, your ticket will be paid the “Win” rate for the horse. This wager is technically called a “Win Bet.”
Place: Sometimes even the best horses finish second and that’s what it means to “place.” If the horse you pick comes in first or second, you are paid the “Place” rate. This wager is technically called a “Place Bet.”
Show: There’s nothing wrong with coming in third, unless it’s a three horse race. If your horse comes in first, second or third, you are paid the “Show” rate. This wager is technically called a “Show Bet.”
Exacta (also called a Perfecta): Think you know what horses will finish first and second? If so, place an Exact. You must pick the exact order. If you pick a the number four horse to win and the number five horse to place and the race ends up being 5-4, you lose. To win, in this example, you need a 4-5 finish.
Quinella: This bet is like an Exacta in that you select the two horses you think will finish first and second. However, unlike the Exacta, the order does not matter. If you select the number 5 horse and the number 6 horse, you win if the order is 5-6 or 6-5.
Trifecta (also called a Triple): If you want to win a good deal of cash, potentially, for a small or wager, the Trifecta is for you. When you bet a Trifecta, you are betting on the exact horses that will finish first, second and third. The order matters with this bet. If you are unsure of the order, but just know the three horses that will Win, Place and Show, you can box the bet. When you box a bet, you are betting all possible combinations. There are six combinations to any three-horse Trifecta.
Daily Double: If you have a good eye for picking winners, give the daily double a spin. When you bet the daily double, you are betting on the winner of two consecutive horse races—usually the first and second race of the day.
Pick Six: This bet could be a pick 6,7,8 and so forth. When you place this bet, you pick the winners of all the races. As you can imagine, it has a very nice payoff when you win.
You are now up to speed with some common horse wagering options. The only thing left to do is to visit an online race book and make some winning bets. Horse wagering is a fun, and addictive, activity. The Internet is full of great horse wagering articles, tips and websites. Placing your horse wagers at an online race book is a great way to keep in the action and it’s extremely convenient too.
The author is the founder and players manager of www.AdvantageSportsBetting.com and one of the top experts in the internet sports betting industry today. Advantage Sports Betting is a world leader in online sports betting, casino, horse racing wagering, poker and a proud member of the Betcorp family.
